What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project an unprecedented, governmen Superforecasting - Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner od authora Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner a nakladatelství za skvělé ceny na e-shopu Martinus. cz.
Autor |
Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner |
Jazyk |
anglický |
Počet stran |
352 |
Rok vydání |
2015 |
Nakladatelství |
Random House |